WARNING!!! #Ebola could infect 1.4 million by 2015 – US warns

Although Nigeria may have succeeded in halting the threat of the Ebola Virus Disease (EVD), the spread of the disease in other places is still on the rise.
The U.S. Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has predicted that Liberia and....
Sierra Leone could have 1.4 million Ebola cases by January 20, 2015 if the spread of the disease is not effectively contained.
According to the CDC, the two countries could have 21,000 cases of Ebola in seven days time- September 30.
These figures, according to a report, take into account the fact that many cases go undetected, and estimate that there are actually 2.5 times as many as reported. The figures for Guinea were not included because case counts there have gone up and down in ways that cannot be reliably modeled.
In the best-case model — which assumes that the dead are buried safely and that 70 percent of patients are treated in settings that reduce the risk of transmission — the epidemic in both countries would be “almost ended” by January 20, the report said. It showed the proportion of patients now in such settings as about 18 percent in Liberia and 40 percent in Sierra Leone.
“My gut feeling is, the actions we’re taking now are going to make that worst-case scenario not come to pass,” Thomas Frieden, the CDC director, said in a telephone interview with New York times.
“But it’s important to understand that it could happen,” Mr. Frieden added.
According to the current official case count, there have been 5,843 Ebola cases in Africa including 2,803 deaths.
The World Health Organisation (WHO), on Monday, predicted over 20,000 cases by November 2 if control remains ineffective. It also raised the possibility that the disease would not be stopped but would become endemic in West Africa – it could become a constant presence there.
On Monday, WHO reported that of the five countries affected by the outbreak of the virus in West Africa, Nigeria and Senegal had managed to stop the spread. Nigeria had 19 confirmed cases with 12 survivors and seven deaths. The last case of the disease was successfully discharged on 10 September from the Ebola Isolation Centre.

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